Pair #7942

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-MAST26-BDEC

Will Bryson DeChambeau lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Masters?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-04-26T23:00:00Z
Volume: 1136276

YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 0.9580
Last: 0.0510

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Bryson DeChambeau is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1TOP20-MAST26-BDEC

The Masters: Will Bryson DeChambeau finish top 20 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP20
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-04-09T23:00:00Z
Volume: 28032

YES ask: 0.6100
NO ask: 0.7300
Last: 0.5400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Bryson DeChambeau finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:20:33Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 means he is 1st, which is necessarily within the top 20. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5680
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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