Pair #7937

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR2LEAD-MAST26-BDEC

Will Bryson DeChambeau lead at the end of Round 2 in the The Masters?

Series: KXPGAR2LEAD
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-04-26T23:00:00Z
Volume: 20309

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Bryson DeChambeau is the leader at the end of Round 2 in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR2TOP10-MAST26-BDEC

The Masters: Will Bryson DeChambeau finish top 10 in Round 2?

Series: KXPGAR2TOP10
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-04-10T23:00:00Z
Volume: 4199

YES ask: 0.2400
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Bryson DeChambeau finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 2 rounds of the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:20:12Z

Reasoning: If DeChambeau leads after Round 2, he is necessarily in the top 10 after Round 2 (the leader is always within the top 10). The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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