Pair #7934

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR2LEAD-MAST26-BDEC

Will Bryson DeChambeau lead at the end of Round 2 in the The Masters?

Series: KXPGAR2LEAD
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-04-26T23:00:00Z
Volume: 20309

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Bryson DeChambeau is the leader at the end of Round 2 in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-BDEC

The Masters: Will Bryson DeChambeau make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 62423

YES ask: 0.6500
NO ask: 0.3600
Last: 0.6600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Bryson DeChambeau has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:20:12Z

Reasoning: If DeChambeau leads the tournament after Round 2, he has necessarily made the cut (the leader always makes the cut). The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not imply leading after R2.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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