Pair #7929

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1TOP5-MAST26-BDEC

The Masters: Will Bryson DeChambeau finish top 5 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP5
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-04-10T00:00:00Z
Volume: 12777

YES ask: 0.2100
NO ask: 0.8000
Last: 0.2100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bryson DeChambeau finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1TOP20-MAST26-BDEC

The Masters: Will Bryson DeChambeau finish top 20 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP20
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-04-09T23:00:00Z
Volume: 28032

YES ask: 0.6100
NO ask: 0.7300
Last: 0.5400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bryson DeChambeau finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:20:12Z

Reasoning: If DeChambeau finishes top 5 in Round 1, he is necessarily also in the top 20. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.4100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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