Pair #7928

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1TOP5-MAST26-BDEC

The Masters: Will Bryson DeChambeau finish top 5 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP5
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-04-10T00:00:00Z
Volume: 12777

YES ask: 0.2100
NO ask: 0.8000
Last: 0.2100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bryson DeChambeau finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1TOP10-MAST26-BDEC

The Masters: Will Bryson DeChambeau finish top 10 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-04-10T00:00:00Z
Volume: 37987

YES ask: 0.3700
NO ask: 0.7000
Last: 0.3600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bryson DeChambeau finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:20:12Z

Reasoning: If DeChambeau finishes top 5 in Round 1, he is necessarily also in the top 10. The reverse does not hold — top 10 does not imply top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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