Pair #7884

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-BDEC

Will Bryson DeChambeau win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 18818648

YES ask: 0.0080
NO ask: 0.9930
Last: 0.0080

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Rules

If Bryson DeChambeau wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAPLAYERCAT-MAST26USA-BDEC

Will Bryson DeChambeau finish as the top United States golfer in the tournament?

Series: KXPGAPLAYERCAT
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-04-13T00:00:25.427Z
Volume: 26347

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Bryson DeChambeau records the lowest total strokes among all United States golfers who complete the full tournament of the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:18:43Z

Reasoning: If DeChambeau wins the Masters, he has the lowest stroke total among all players, which necessarily means he has the lowest total among all US golfers. He must be the top US finisher.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0230
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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