Pair #7879

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-BDEC

Will Bryson DeChambeau win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 18818648

YES ask: 0.0080
NO ask: 0.9930
Last: 0.0080

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bryson DeChambeau wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-BDEC

The Masters: Will Bryson DeChambeau make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 62423

YES ask: 0.6500
NO ask: 0.3600
Last: 0.6600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bryson DeChambeau has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:18:43Z

Reasoning: To win the Masters Tournament, DeChambeau must complete all 4 rounds, which requires making the cut after Round 2. Winning logically necessitates having made the cut.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6430
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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