Pair #7869

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-ROM

The Masters: Will Robert MacIntyre finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Robert MacIntyre
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 22041

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Robert MacIntyre finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-RMAC

The Masters: Will Robert MacIntyre make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Robert MacIntyre
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 9534

YES ask: 0.1400
NO ask: 0.8900
Last: 0.1400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Robert MacIntyre has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:18:20Z

Reasoning: If MacIntyre finishes top 10, he must have made the cut. The reverse does not hold — he could make the cut but finish outside the top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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