Pair #7867

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-ROM

The Masters: Will Robert MacIntyre finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Robert MacIntyre
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 22041

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Robert MacIntyre finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-ROM

The Masters: Will Robert MacIntyre finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Robert MacIntyre
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 50629

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 0.9700
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Robert MacIntyre finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:18:20Z

Reasoning: If MacIntyre finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20 as well. The reverse does not hold — he could finish between 11th and 20th.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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