Pair #7851

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-RMAC

Will Robert MacIntyre win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Robert MacIntyre
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 3338259

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

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Rules

If Robert MacIntyre wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-ROM

The Masters: Will Robert MacIntyre finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Robert MacIntyre
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 22041

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Robert MacIntyre finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:17:41Z

Reasoning: If MacIntyre wins the Masters, he necessarily finishes 1st, which is within the top 10. The reverse does not hold — finishing top 10 does not mean winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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