Pair #7843

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-TFLE

Will Tommy Fleetwood win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Tommy Fleetwood
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 9028598

YES ask: 0.0020
NO ask: 0.9990
Last: 0.0020

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tommy Fleetwood wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAPLAYERCAT-MAST26EUR-TFLE

Will Tommy Fleetwood finish as the top European golfer in the tournament?

Series: KXPGAPLAYERCAT
Entity: Tommy Fleetwood
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:25.427Z
Volume: 11356

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tommy Fleetwood records the lowest total strokes among all European golfers who complete the full tournament of the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:17:41Z

Reasoning: If Fleetwood wins the Masters, he has the lowest score overall, which necessarily means he has the lowest score among European golfers. Winning implies being top European. The reverse does not hold — he could be top European without winning the tournament.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0090
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue