Pair #7820

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-RUH

The Masters: Will Russell Henley finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Russell Henley
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 36385

YES ask: 0.5400
NO ask: 0.4700
Last: 0.5300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Russell Henley finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-RUH

The Masters: Will Russell Henley finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Russell Henley
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 116310

YES ask: 0.8800
NO ask: 0.1300
Last: 0.8700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Russell Henley finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:17:00Z

Reasoning: A top-10 finish is necessarily also a top-20 finish. The reverse does not hold — a top-20 finish could be positions 11-20.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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