Pair #78

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNBAGAME-26MAR18DENMEM-DEN

Denver at Memphis Winner?

Series: KXNBAGAME
Entity: Denver
Expiration: 2026-03-19T03:30:00Z
Volume: 42942

YES ask: 0.8800
NO ask: 0.1300
Last: 0.8800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Denver wins the Denver at Memphis professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNBAPLAYOFF-26-DEN

Pro Basketball Playoff Qualifiers Winner?

Series: KXNBAPLAYOFF
Entity: Denver
Expiration: 2026-04-18T14:00:00Z
Volume: 23009

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Denver is one of the Pro Basketball Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:00:32Z

Reasoning: Denver making the playoffs does not require them to win any specific regular season game, and winning a single regular season game does not guarantee a playoff berth. No logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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