Pair #7796

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-XSCH

Masters Tournament: Will Xander Schauffele finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Xander Schauffele
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 214153

YES ask: 0.3600
NO ask: 0.6700
Last: 0.3300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Xander Schauffele finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-XSCH

The Masters: Will Xander Schauffele make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Xander Schauffele
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 16835

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0200
Last: 0.9800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Xander Schauffele has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:16:22Z

Reasoning: To finish in the top 10 of the tournament, Schauffele must have made the cut. You cannot finish in the top 10 without surviving the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue