Pair #7780

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-XSCH

Will Xander Schauffele win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Xander Schauffele
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 11053195

YES ask: 0.0030
NO ask: 0.9980
Last: 0.0030

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Xander Schauffele wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-XSCH

The Masters: Will Xander Schauffele make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Xander Schauffele
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 16835

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0200
Last: 0.9800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Xander Schauffele has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:15:35Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters necessarily requires making the cut — you cannot win the tournament without completing all four rounds. The reverse does not hold: making the cut does not guarantee winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9980
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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