Pair #7767

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-SWOO

Will Si Woo Kim win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Si Woo Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 1936252

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

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Rules

If Si Woo Kim wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAPLAYERCAT-MAST26APAC-SKIM

Will Si Woo Kim finish as the top Asian/Oceanic golfer in the tournament?

Series: KXPGAPLAYERCAT
Entity: Si Woo Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-13T00:00:25.427Z
Volume: 13053

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Si Woo Kim records the lowest total strokes among all Asian/Oceanic golfers who complete the full tournament of the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:15:13Z

Reasoning: If Si Woo Kim wins the entire Masters (lowest strokes overall), he must have the lowest strokes among the subset of Asian/Oceanic golfers as well, so he necessarily finishes as the top Asian/Oceanic golfer. The reverse does not hold — he could be top Asian/Oceanic finisher without winning the overall tournament.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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