Pair #7757

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-VIH

The Masters: Will Viktor Hovland finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Viktor Hovland
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 21488

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Viktor Hovland finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-VIH

The Masters: Will Viktor Hovland finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Viktor Hovland
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 47158

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 0.9400
Last: 0.0900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Viktor Hovland finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:14:55Z

Reasoning: If Hovland finishes top 10 at the Masters, he necessarily also finishes top 20 (top 10 is a strict subset of top 20). The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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