Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOUR-VAC26-STHE
Will Sahith Theegala win the Valspar Championship?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Sahith Theegala
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 384549
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Sahith Theegala wins the Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-STHE
Valspar Championship: Will Sahith Theegala make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Sahith Theegala
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 576
YES ask: 0.1200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Sahith Theegala makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:08:58Z
Reasoning: To win the Valspar Championship, Theegala must make the cut (winners play all rounds). The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee winning.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.1200
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A