Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOUR-MAST26-STHE
Will Sahith Theegala win the Masters Tournament?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Sahith Theegala
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 2231588
YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Sahith Theegala wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-STHE
Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?
Series: KXPGAMAJORWIN
Entity: Sahith Theegala
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 5897
YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Sahith Theegala wins any of the four golf major tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:08:58Z
Reasoning: The Masters is one of the four majors. If Theegala wins the Masters, he necessarily wins a major in 2026. The reverse does not hold — he could win a different major.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.0300
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A