Pair #7702

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-RMCI

Will Rory McIlroy win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Rory McIlroy
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 25266992

YES ask: 0.3600
NO ask: 0.6500
Last: 0.3600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Rory McIlroy wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-RMCI

The Masters: Will Rory McIlroy make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Rory McIlroy
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 27638

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0700
Last: 0.9700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Rory McIlroy has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:13:32Z

Reasoning: If McIlroy wins the Masters, he must have completed all four rounds, which means he necessarily made the cut. Making the cut does not imply winning. Implication holds in one direction only.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue