Pair #77

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNBAWEST1SEED-25-DEN

Will Denver be the Pro Basketball Western Conference #1 Seed in the playoffs?

Series: KXNBAWEST1SEED
Entity: Denver
Expiration: 2026-04-13T14:00:00Z
Volume: 8387

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Denver is the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Western Conference #1 Seed in the playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNBAPLAYOFF-26-DEN

Pro Basketball Playoff Qualifiers Winner?

Series: KXNBAPLAYOFF
Entity: Denver
Expiration: 2026-04-18T14:00:00Z
Volume: 23009

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Denver is one of the Pro Basketball Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:00:32Z

Reasoning: Being the Western Conference #1 seed necessarily means Denver qualified for the playoffs. However, making the playoffs does not require being the #1 seed. Implication is one-directional: #1 seed → playoff qualifier.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $2.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-03-18T15:39:25Z

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