Pair #7667

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-JRAH

Masters Tournament: Will Jon Rahm finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Jon Rahm
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 113663

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jon Rahm finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-JRAH

The Masters: Will Jon Rahm make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Jon Rahm
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 41772

YES ask: 0.4500
NO ask: 0.5700
Last: 0.4500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jon Rahm has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:12:34Z

Reasoning: If Rahm finishes in the top 10 of the full tournament, he must have made the cut to play all four rounds. Making the cut does not guarantee a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.4500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue