Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOP5-MAST26-CHG
The Masters: Will Chris Gotterup finish top 5?
Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Chris Gotterup
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 123493
YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 0.9700
Last: 0.0500
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Chris Gotterup finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-CGOT
The Masters: Will Chris Gotterup make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Chris Gotterup
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 7252
YES ask: 0.9300
NO ask: 0.1200
Last: 0.8800
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Chris Gotterup has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:11:54Z
Reasoning: Finishing top 5 overall requires making the cut — you cannot finish in the top 5 without surviving the cut. However, making the cut does not guarantee a top-5 finish.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.9000
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A