Pair #7635

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-CHG

The Masters: Will Chris Gotterup finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Chris Gotterup
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 75751

YES ask: 0.5000
NO ask: 0.5300
Last: 0.4700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Chris Gotterup finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-CGOT

The Masters: Will Chris Gotterup make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Chris Gotterup
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 7252

YES ask: 0.9300
NO ask: 0.1200
Last: 0.8800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Chris Gotterup has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:11:34Z

Reasoning: If Gotterup finishes top 20, he must have made the cut to play the weekend rounds. Making the cut does not imply a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.4600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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