Pair #7631

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-CHG

The Masters: Will Chris Gotterup finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Chris Gotterup
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 66133

YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 0.8900
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Chris Gotterup finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-CGOT

The Masters: Will Chris Gotterup make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Chris Gotterup
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 7252

YES ask: 0.9300
NO ask: 0.1200
Last: 0.8800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Chris Gotterup has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:11:34Z

Reasoning: If Gotterup finishes top 10, he must have made the cut. Making the cut does not imply a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.8200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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