Pair #7629

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-CHG

The Masters: Will Chris Gotterup finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Chris Gotterup
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 66133

YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 0.8900
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Chris Gotterup finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-CHG

The Masters: Will Chris Gotterup finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Chris Gotterup
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 75751

YES ask: 0.5000
NO ask: 0.5300
Last: 0.4700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Chris Gotterup finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:11:34Z

Reasoning: If Gotterup finishes in the top 10, he necessarily also finishes in the top 20. The reverse does not hold — top 20 does not imply top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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