KXPGAR1LEAD-VAC26-STHE
Will Sahith Theegala lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valspar Championship?
Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Sahith Theegala
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 49862
YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200
KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-STHE
Valspar Championship: Will Sahith Theegala make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Sahith Theegala
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 576
YES ask: 0.1200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:08:37Z
Reasoning: If Theegala leads after Round 1, he has completed Round 1 and is in the field. The cut is made after Round 2, and the Round 1 leader's score will virtually always make the cut. More precisely, leading after Round 1 means he has the lowest score — it is a logical certainty he makes the cut (a player with the best score after R1 cannot miss the cut which is set after R2, and any R1 leader's score qualifies them). Actually, this is not a strict logical necessity — he could theoretically have a catastrophic Round 2 and miss the cut. So this is not logically necessary.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.1100
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A
Not yet reviewed.
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