Pair #7618

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-CGOT

Will Chris Gotterup win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Chris Gotterup
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 6184887

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

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Rules

If Chris Gotterup wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAPLAYERCAT-MAST26USA-CGOT

Will Chris Gotterup finish as the top United States golfer in the tournament?

Series: KXPGAPLAYERCAT
Entity: Chris Gotterup
Expiration: 2026-04-13T00:00:25.427Z
Volume: 5097

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Chris Gotterup records the lowest total strokes among all United States golfers who complete the full tournament of the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:11:09Z

Reasoning: If Gotterup wins the Masters overall, he has the lowest score among all golfers including all Americans, so he must be the top US finisher. The reverse does not hold — being the top US golfer does not mean winning the tournament overall.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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