Pair #7614

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-CGOT

Will Chris Gotterup win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Chris Gotterup
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 6184887

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

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Rules

If Chris Gotterup wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-CHG

The Masters: Will Chris Gotterup finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Chris Gotterup
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 75751

YES ask: 0.5000
NO ask: 0.5300
Last: 0.4700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Chris Gotterup finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:10:45Z

Reasoning: If Chris Gotterup wins the Masters Tournament, he necessarily finishes in the top 20 (winning means finishing 1st, which is within the top 20). The reverse does not hold — finishing top 20 does not mean winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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