Pair #7602

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-MAST26-CMOR

Masters Tournament: Will Collin Morikawa finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Collin Morikawa
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 22507

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 0.9300
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Collin Morikawa finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-CMOR

The Masters: Will Collin Morikawa make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Collin Morikawa
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 112717

YES ask: 0.6800
NO ask: 0.4600
Last: 0.6800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Collin Morikawa has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:10:23Z

Reasoning: To finish in the top 5 of the Masters, Morikawa must complete all four rounds, which requires making the cut. Making the cut does not imply a top 5 finish. The implication goes only one way: top 5 finish → made the cut.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue