Pair #7583

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-CMOR

Will Collin Morikawa win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Collin Morikawa
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 6531994

YES ask: 0.0040
NO ask: 0.9980
Last: 0.0040

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Rules

If Collin Morikawa wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAPLAYERCAT-MAST26USA-CMOR

Will Collin Morikawa finish as the top United States golfer in the tournament?

Series: KXPGAPLAYERCAT
Entity: Collin Morikawa
Expiration: 2026-04-13T00:00:25.427Z
Volume: 2856

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Collin Morikawa records the lowest total strokes among all United States golfers who complete the full tournament of the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:10:02Z

Reasoning: If Morikawa wins the Masters (lowest total strokes overall), he necessarily has the lowest total strokes among all US golfers who complete the tournament, since he is American and his score is the lowest of everyone.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0080
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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