Pair #7582

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-CMOR

Will Collin Morikawa win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Collin Morikawa
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 6531994

YES ask: 0.0040
NO ask: 0.9980
Last: 0.0040

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Rules

If Collin Morikawa wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-CMOR

The Masters: Will Collin Morikawa make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Collin Morikawa
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 112717

YES ask: 0.6800
NO ask: 0.4600
Last: 0.6800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Collin Morikawa has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:10:02Z

Reasoning: To win the Masters, Morikawa must complete all four rounds, which requires making the cut. Winning implies making the cut as a matter of logical necessity.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6780
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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