Pair #7576

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-MFIT

Masters Tournament: Will Matt Fitzpatrick finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Matt Fitzpatrick
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 74588

YES ask: 0.2000
NO ask: 0.8200
Last: 0.1800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Matt Fitzpatrick finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-MFIT

The Masters: Will Matt Fitzpatrick make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Matt Fitzpatrick
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 21827

YES ask: 0.8600
NO ask: 0.1900
Last: 0.8100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Matt Fitzpatrick has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:09:36Z

Reasoning: Finishing in the top 10 requires playing all four rounds, which necessitates making the cut. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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