Pair #7570

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-MFIT

Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Matt Fitzpatrick
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 6146824

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

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Rules

If Matt Fitzpatrick wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-MFIT

The Masters: Will Matt Fitzpatrick make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Matt Fitzpatrick
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 21827

YES ask: 0.8600
NO ask: 0.1900
Last: 0.8100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Matt Fitzpatrick has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:09:36Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters requires playing all four rounds, which means Fitzpatrick must have made the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.8600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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