Pair #7564

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR2LEAD-MAST26-BKOE

Will Brooks Koepka lead at the end of Round 2 in the The Masters?

Series: KXPGAR2LEAD
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-04-26T23:00:00Z
Volume: 22306

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brooks Koepka is the leader at the end of Round 2 in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-BKOE

The Masters: Will Brooks Koepka make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 12778

YES ask: 0.9400
NO ask: 0.1100
Last: 0.9400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brooks Koepka has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:09:19Z

Reasoning: The cut at the Masters is made after R2. If Koepka is the leader at the end of R2, he has by definition made the cut (the leader cannot be cut). The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not imply leading after R2.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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