Pair #7558

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAAGECUT-MAST26-BKOE

Masters Tournament: Will Brooks Koepka be the oldest golfer to make the cut?

Series: KXPGAAGECUT
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-04-11T09:00:00Z
Volume: 10865

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brooks Koepka is the oldest golfer to make the cut in the 2026 Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-BKOE

Masters Tournament: Will Brooks Koepka finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 149990

YES ask: 0.2600
NO ask: 0.7500
Last: 0.2600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brooks Koepka finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:09:19Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 requires making the cut but does not require being the oldest to make it. Being the oldest to make the cut does not imply a top 10 finish. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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