Pair #7557

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-BKOE

Masters Tournament: Will Brooks Koepka finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 149990

YES ask: 0.2600
NO ask: 0.7500
Last: 0.2600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brooks Koepka finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-BKOE

The Masters: Will Brooks Koepka make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 12778

YES ask: 0.9400
NO ask: 0.1100
Last: 0.9400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brooks Koepka has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:09:19Z

Reasoning: To finish in the top 10 of the Masters, a player must have made the cut. Therefore top 10 finish logically necessitates making the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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