Pair #7554

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAAGECUT-MAST26-BKOE

Masters Tournament: Will Brooks Koepka be the oldest golfer to make the cut?

Series: KXPGAAGECUT
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-04-11T09:00:00Z
Volume: 10865

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brooks Koepka is the oldest golfer to make the cut in the 2026 Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-BKOE

Masters Tournament: Will Brooks Koepka finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 135268

YES ask: 0.6300
NO ask: 0.4100
Last: 0.6300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brooks Koepka finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:09:00Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 at the Masters requires making the cut, but does not logically require being the oldest golfer to make the cut. And being the oldest to make the cut does not guarantee a top-20 finish. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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