Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGAAGECUT-MAST26-BKOE
Masters Tournament: Will Brooks Koepka be the oldest golfer to make the cut?
Series: KXPGAAGECUT
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-04-11T09:00:00Z
Volume: 10865
YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1900
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Brooks Koepka is the oldest golfer to make the cut in the 2026 Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-BKOE
Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?
Series: KXPGAMAJORWIN
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 18194
YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 0.9500
Last: 0.1000
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Brooks Koepka wins any of the four golf major tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:09:00Z
Reasoning: Winning a major does not require being the oldest to make the cut at the Masters, and being the oldest to make the cut at the Masters does not imply winning any major. No logical necessity in either direction.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.1000
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A