Pair #7546

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAAGECUT-MAST26-BKOE

Masters Tournament: Will Brooks Koepka be the oldest golfer to make the cut?

Series: KXPGAAGECUT
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-04-11T09:00:00Z
Volume: 10865

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brooks Koepka is the oldest golfer to make the cut in the 2026 Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAJORTOP10-MAJORS26-BKOE

All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Brooks Koepka finish top 10?

Series: KXPGAMAJORTOP10
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-07-26T22:00:00Z
Volume: 3474

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brooks Koepka finishes top 10 (including ties) in all 4 golf major tournaments in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:09:00Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 in all 4 majors requires making the cut at the Masters, but does not logically require being the OLDEST golfer to make the cut. And being the oldest to make the cut says nothing about finishing top 10 in all 4 majors. No necessary implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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