Pair #7545

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAJORTOP10-MAJORS26-BKOE

All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Brooks Koepka finish top 10?

Series: KXPGAMAJORTOP10
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-07-26T22:00:00Z
Volume: 3474

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brooks Koepka finishes top 10 (including ties) in all 4 golf major tournaments in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-BKOE

The Masters: Will Brooks Koepka make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 12778

YES ask: 0.9400
NO ask: 0.1100
Last: 0.9400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brooks Koepka has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:09:00Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: If Koepka finishes top 10 in all 4 majors (including the Masters), he must have made the cut at the Masters — you cannot finish top 10 without making the cut. The reverse does not hold: making the cut does not guarantee a top-10 finish in all 4 majors.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.9200 + ~$0.0053 est. fees
Days to maturity: 11
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -104.23% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-11T15:21:22Z

Authenticate

← Back to review queue