Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGAMAJORTOP10-MAJORS26-BKOE
All 4 Golf Major Tournaments: Will Brooks Koepka finish top 10?
Series: KXPGAMAJORTOP10
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-07-26T22:00:00Z
Volume: 3474
YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0200
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Brooks Koepka finishes top 10 (including ties) in all 4 golf major tournaments in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-BKOE
The Masters: Will Brooks Koepka make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 12778
YES ask: 0.9400
NO ask: 0.1100
Last: 0.9400
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Brooks Koepka has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:09:00Z
Reasoning: If Koepka finishes top 10 in all 4 majors (including the Masters), he must have made the cut at the Masters — you cannot finish top 10 without making the cut. The reverse does not hold: making the cut does not guarantee a top-10 finish in all 4 majors.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
-98.58%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.9200
Days to maturity:
56
Hurdle yield:
4.21%
Excess yield:
-102.79%
BELOW HURDLE