Pair #7542

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAAGECUT-MAST26-BKOE

Masters Tournament: Will Brooks Koepka be the oldest golfer to make the cut?

Series: KXPGAAGECUT
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-04-11T09:00:00Z
Volume: 10865

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brooks Koepka is the oldest golfer to make the cut in the 2026 Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-BKOE

Will Brooks Koepka win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 9023953

YES ask: 0.0020
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0020

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brooks Koepka wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:08:38Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters means Koepka made the cut, but does not guarantee he is the oldest golfer to make the cut (other older golfers could also make it). And being the oldest to make the cut does not imply winning the tournament.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0020
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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