Pair #7540

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-MAST26-BKOE

Will Brooks Koepka lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Masters?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-04-26T23:00:00Z
Volume: 429062

YES ask: 0.0170
NO ask: 0.9870
Last: 0.0170

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brooks Koepka is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-BKOE

Will Brooks Koepka win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 9023953

YES ask: 0.0020
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0020

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brooks Koepka wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:08:38Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters does not require leading after Round 1, and leading after Round 1 does not guarantee winning the tournament.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.9890
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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