Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGAR1LEAD-MAST26-BKOE
Will Brooks Koepka lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Masters?
Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-04-26T23:00:00Z
Volume: 429062
YES ask: 0.0170
NO ask: 0.9870
Last: 0.0170
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Brooks Koepka is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOUR-MAST26-BKOE
Will Brooks Koepka win the Masters Tournament?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 9023953
YES ask: 0.0020
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0020
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Brooks Koepka wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:08:38Z
Reasoning: Winning the Masters does not require leading after Round 1, and leading after Round 1 does not guarantee winning the tournament.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$0.9890
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A