Pair #7539

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR2LEAD-MAST26-BKOE

Will Brooks Koepka lead at the end of Round 2 in the The Masters?

Series: KXPGAR2LEAD
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-04-26T23:00:00Z
Volume: 22306

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If Brooks Koepka is the leader at the end of Round 2 in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-BKOE

Will Brooks Koepka win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 9023953

YES ask: 0.0020
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0020

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brooks Koepka wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:08:38Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters does not require leading after Round 2 (a player can win from behind the halfway leader), and leading after Round 2 does not guarantee winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0020
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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