Pair #7537

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-MLEE

The Masters: Will Min Woo Lee make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 13192

YES ask: 0.3400
NO ask: 0.7100
Last: 0.2800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Min Woo Lee has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAPLAYERCAT-MAST26APAC-MLEE

Will Min Woo Lee finish as the top Asian/Oceanic golfer in the tournament?

Series: KXPGAPLAYERCAT
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-04-13T00:00:25.427Z
Volume: 21298

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Min Woo Lee records the lowest total strokes among all Asian/Oceanic golfers who complete the full tournament of the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:08:38Z

Reasoning: Making the cut does not guarantee being the top Asian/Oceanic finisher (another such golfer could finish better), and being the top Asian/Oceanic finisher requires completing the full tournament per the rules, which means making the cut — but the rules say 'complete the full tournament,' which could differ from merely making the cut. Even if equivalent, making the cut doesn't ensure he's the top among that group.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.7300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue