Pair #7536

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-MAST26-MLEE

The Masters: Will Min Woo Lee finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 20347

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Min Woo Lee finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-MLEE

The Masters: Will Min Woo Lee make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 13192

YES ask: 0.3400
NO ask: 0.7100
Last: 0.2800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Min Woo Lee has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:08:38Z

Reasoning: If Min Woo Lee finishes top 5, he necessarily made the cut (you cannot finish top 5 without making the cut). The reverse is not true — making the cut does not guarantee a top 5 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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