Pair #7534

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-MAST26-MLEE

Will Min Woo Lee lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Masters?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-04-26T23:00:00Z
Volume: 287162

YES ask: 0.0270
NO ask: 0.9760
Last: 0.0270

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Rules

If Min Woo Lee is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-MAST26-MLEE

The Masters: Will Min Woo Lee finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 20347

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Min Woo Lee finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:08:38Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee a top 5 finish (he could fall in later rounds), and finishing top 5 does not require having led after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.9860
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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