Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOP20-MAST26-MLEE
The Masters: Will Min Woo Lee finish top 20?
Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 39616
YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 0.9200
Last: 0.1100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Min Woo Lee finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-MLEE
The Masters: Will Min Woo Lee make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 13192
YES ask: 0.3400
NO ask: 0.7100
Last: 0.2800
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Min Woo Lee has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:08:13Z
Reasoning: If Lee finishes in the top 20, he must have made the cut to play the final rounds. Making the cut does not imply a top 20 finish.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.2600
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A