Pair #7526

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-MLEE

The Masters: Will Min Woo Lee finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 25482

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Min Woo Lee finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-MLEE

The Masters: Will Min Woo Lee make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 13192

YES ask: 0.3400
NO ask: 0.7100
Last: 0.2800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Min Woo Lee has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:08:13Z

Reasoning: If Lee finishes in the top 10, he must have made the cut to compete in the final rounds. Making the cut does not imply a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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