Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGAR1LEAD-MAST26-MLEE
Will Min Woo Lee lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Masters?
Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-04-26T23:00:00Z
Volume: 287162
YES ask: 0.0270
NO ask: 0.9760
Last: 0.0270
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Min Woo Lee is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOP10-MAST26-MLEE
The Masters: Will Min Woo Lee finish top 10?
Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 25482
YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0400
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Min Woo Lee finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:08:13Z
Reasoning: Finishing top 10 overall does not require leading after Round 1, and leading after Round 1 does not guarantee a top 10 finish.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.0360
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A